CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.Navigation warning! Sea shooting test in the southern Yellow Sea, according to the website of China Maritime Safety Administration, Lianyungang Maritime Safety Administration issued a navigation warning. From 8: 00 to 14: 00 on December 11, some sea areas in the southern Yellow Sea were fired with live ammunition, and it was forbidden to enter.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. Steady development of new quality productive forces-China Economic Observation in 2024 ③; 2. About 100 flying rainbow bridges built and under construction in China cross the blue ocean (new economic orientation); 3. VAT invoice data shows that the retail sales of household appliances increased by 74.4% in November. 4. The General Administration of Market Supervision regulates the whole process of business marketing behavior to prevent the waste of take-away catering; 5. China-Europe trains reach 227 cities in 25 countries in Europe, connecting more than 100 cities in 11 Asian countries, sending goods over 11 million TEUs and goods worth over 420 billion US dollars-crossing mountains and seas, and the "steel camel team" adds momentum to the world economy (building the "Belt and Road" and the first site); 6. Continue to play the role of the biggest engine of world economic growth (harmony); 7. Accelerate the arrival of "Digital Wisdom Future" (vertical and horizontal); 8. Continue to expand new consumption scenarios and new formats (everyone talks); 9. What do you think of the "China scenery" in the world economy (current economic question and answer in China)? 10. The two departments will further improve the working mechanism of centralized drug collection and implementation, and encourage the priority use of selected drugs and consumables; 11. Give full play to the role of bidding competition to help the standardized and healthy development of the bidding market (the way of governance); 12. The national economy is progressing steadily (number 2024); 13. Improve the quality and efficiency of life insurance management and do a good job in pension finance; 14. The global robot industry accelerates innovation and development (international perspective). In 2023, the number of newly installed industrial robots in China exceeded half of the world; 15. The active format of the new service consumption market characterized by digital and green is released to "new" vitality (consumption window, promoting the expansion and upgrading of service consumption); 16. Create more abundant new products for the integration of literature and tourism (market stroll); 17. CNCA issued an action plan to improve the quality management system certification of small and micro enterprises, improve product quality and increase quality supply (consumption kaleidoscope).
Lian Ping, president of the Chief Industry Research Institute of Guangkai, believes that it is expected to reduce the RRR by about 100 basis points in 2025, releasing more than 3 trillion yuan of liquidity. Among them, there is limited room for reducing the deposit reserve ratio of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the expected RRR reduction is about 50 basis points.SpaceX is valued at about $350 billion due to internal stock sales. According to an email sent to employees seen by the media, SpaceX and its investors have agreed to acquire the company's common stock of up to $1.25 billion at a price of $185 per share. This transaction values elon musk's rocket and satellite manufacturer at about $350 billion.Citic Jiantou: The demand for promoting the release of opinions on the pipeline network and water renovation in resilient cities is expected to increase. According to the research report of CITIC Jiantou, recently, the general offices of the General Office of the Central Committee of the CPC and the State Council issued the Opinions on Promoting the Construction of New Urban Infrastructure to Create a Resilient City, which clearly stated that it is necessary to build an intelligent and efficient new urban infrastructure system and continuously improve the resilience of urban facilities, management and space. Specifically, the Opinions propose that by 2027, the construction of new urban infrastructure will make significant progress, and the supporting role for the construction of resilient cities will be continuously enhanced, forming a number of experiences and practices that can be replicated and promoted. In addition, the Opinions also proposes the implementation of intelligent municipal infrastructure construction and transformation, and the digital transformation and upgrading and intelligent management of urban water supply, drainage, power supply, gas, heat, fire hydrants (fire cranes), underground utility tunnel and other municipal infrastructure according to local conditions. We believe that in the process of building a resilient city, the demand for urban infrastructure renewal and construction is expected to continue to grow, and related water and sanitation equipment enterprises are expected to benefit.
Syrian opposition forces claimed to have taken control of the eastern Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor. According to Al Jazeera and Arabiya TV, on the 10th local time, Hassan Abdel Ghani, commander of Syrian opposition forces, said that "the eastern Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor has been completely controlled".CITIC Jiantou: China's commercial space layout continues to land, and SpaceX's first mobile phone direct connection constellation has been built. CITIC Jiantou Research Report said that China's state-owned private enterprises have laid out one after another, and the satellite development and rocket launch modes have gradually transformed, and commercial space forces are expected to accelerate the layout process of low-orbit Internet. Recently, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation Commercial Satellite Co., Ltd. unveiled its design concept of Internet satellite for the first time, including standardization, low cost, integration, digitalization and scale. The company's production line in Tianjin has an annual production capacity of more than 100 satellites, and the satellite super factory in Wenchang, Hainan is expected to be put into operation in 2025, with an annual production capacity of 1,000 satellites. The third batch of networked satellites in Qian Fan (G60) constellation was successfully launched, and the number of satellites in orbit increased to 54. China Telecom invested 1 billion yuan to set up a new satellite company. Internationally, SpaceX has built the world's first low-orbit mobile phone direct connection constellation, and the three European aerospace giants Airbus Group, Terez Company and Leonardo Company want to jointly build a new satellite company.During the year, there were 461 new indices, and the index investment fever continued to climb. On December 10th, in order to meet the investment demand of diversified indices, CSI Index Co., Ltd. officially released five new indices, including CSI 1000 Growth Index, CSI 1000 Value Index, CSI 2000 Growth Index, CSI 2000 Value Index and CSI 1000 Quality Balance Strategy Index. With the "listing" of the above five indexes, the number of newly-issued indexes reached 461 during the year, covering categories such as strategy, style, scale, industry, theme and other fixed-income indexes; Related index asset classes include stocks, fixed income, funds and futures. At the same time, the secondary market, this year, the heat of indexed investment is also high. Looking forward to the future, with the continuous vigorous growth of market demand and unabated heat, and the precise guidance and strong support from the supervisory level, the indexed investment ecology will become more and more perfect. (Securities Daily)
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14